Go for the 2
South Alabama vs. Ole Miss
Notes:
Since 2012, South Alabama is 1-7 against Power 5 conferences and have lost those games by a total margin of 275-78 or 28.1 points per game. South Alabama defeated Mississippi State last year by a score of 21-20.
South Alabama won 6 games in 2016 against 4 FBS teams (Mississippi State, San Diego State, Georgia State and New Mexico State) with a combined overall record of 23-28 or .450%. The Jaguars also defeated Nicholls State (FCS) by a score of 41-40 and Presbyterian (FCS) by a score of 31-7.
South Alabama lost 7 games in 2016 to FBS opponents (Georgia Southern, La.-Lafayette, Arkansas State, Troy, La.-Monroe, Idaho and Air Force) with a combined overall record of 52-37 or .584%. The Jaguars lost those games by a total score of 222-147 or 10.7 points per game.
Ole Miss won 5 games in 2016 against 4 FBS opponents (Georgia, Memphis, Georgia Southern and Texas A&M) with a combined overall record of 29-22 or .568%. The Rebels won those four games by a total margin of 159-97 or 15.5 points per game. Ole Miss also defeated Wofford (FCS) by a score of 38-13.
Ole Miss lost 7 games in 2016 to FBS opponents (Florida State, Alabama, LSU, Auburn, Vanderbilt, Arkansas and Mississippi State) with a combined overall record of 59-33 or .641%. The Rebels were outscored by a total score of 298-194 or 14.8 points per game. All seven losses came against bowl teams.
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